seekingalpha.comseekingalpha.com
March 19, 2026 at 09:53 PM

Fed rate cut no longer priced in for 2026 (US2Y:) (US2Y:) (US2Y:) (US2Y:)

Read original article
Wall Street has stopped believing in an interest-rate cut this year by the Federal Reserve. Traders have now wiped out the last fully priced bet for a 2026 rate reduction, a move that comes a day after the Federal Reserve

Impacted Markets

5 markets
Fed decision in April?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Polymarket
Vol: $2943.1kLiq: $347.3k
Impact
6/10
Volatility
medium
Macro
high
Risk
medium
Fed decision in April?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Polymarket
Vol: $2885.5kLiq: $735.3k
Impact
3/10
Volatility
low
Macro
high
Risk
low
Fed decision in April?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Polymarket
Vol: $3704.5kLiq: $655.7k
Impact
6/10
Volatility
medium
Macro
high
Risk
medium
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
Polymarket
Vol: $6.8kLiq: $13.6k
Impact
4/10
Volatility
medium
Macro
high
Risk
medium
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?
Polymarket
Liq: $8.4k
Impact
6/10
Volatility
medium
Macro
high
Risk
high