This story about the advance estimate of second-quarter GDP will be updated with further details.
U.S. economic growth slowed unexpectedly in the second quarter of the year, according to the Commerce Department's advance estimate.
The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on Thursday released its advance estimate of second-quarter GDP, which showed the economy grew at an annualized rate of 1.5% in the three-month period including April, May and June. That figure was below the 2.1% growth estimate of economists polled by LSEG.
A revised estimate of second quarter GDP is scheduled to be released in late August, while the final revision will be published at the end of September.
Impacted Markets
5 marketsWill US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?
Polymarket
Vol: $15.6kLiq: $2.5k
Impact
2/10
Volatility
medium
Macro
high
Risk
medium
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?
Polymarket
Vol: $7.3kLiq: $760
Impact
2/10
Volatility
low
Macro
high
Risk
medium
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
Polymarket
Vol: $5.4kLiq: $1.7k
Impact
2/10
Volatility
medium
Macro
high
Risk
medium
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Polymarket
Vol: $6.9kLiq: $1.3k
Impact
2/10
Volatility
medium
Macro
high
Risk
medium
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
Polymarket
Vol: $3.4kLiq: $872
Impact
2/10
Volatility
medium
Macro
high
Risk
medium