Israel and the US launched Operations Roaring Lion and Epic Fury on February 28, with the stated aim of creating conditions for regime change
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei killed by Israeli strike on Tehran bunker, Iran’s defense minister and several IRGC generals also killed in largest-ever aerial attack by IAF
Iran retaliated by firing across the Middle East at Gulf nations and US military bases in the region
Two IDF soldiers, 19 civilians killed, and at least, 4,099 more injured in ballistic missile attacks across Israel since February 28 • Eleven US soldiers killed
Impacted Markets
5 marketsWill Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?
Polymarket
Impact
6/10
Volatility
high
Macro
high
Risk
high
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?
Polymarket
Vol: $56.2kLiq: $10.0k
Impact
5/10
Volatility
high
Macro
high
Risk
high
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?
Polymarket
Vol: $52.1kLiq: $11.2k
Impact
7/10
Volatility
high
Macro
high
Risk
high
Will Israel strike 1 country in 2026?
Polymarket
Vol: $87.3k
Impact
10/10
Volatility
low
Macro
high
Risk
low
Will Israel strike 0 countries in 2026?
Polymarket
Vol: $38.3k
Impact
10/10
Volatility
high
Macro
high
Risk
high